why would a self-forming universe have any pre-existing disposition? (But this is essentially the same as my Buddha example...)Couldn't a determinist apriorily reject free will in a conscious universe as he easily as he could reject it in a conscious you? Maybe you could say that the universe has no possible external influence so that it would have to be self-determining, but the determinist will come back with "Yes, it's self-determining if you define its self as its disposition, which still leaves no conceptual room for free will..."
What I think I had in the back of my mind with this example was the immutability of deterministic laws. The laws of nature - eg - aren't immutable, they're just generalizations derived from observations. So they could change at any time. (Well they could change conceptually too, but I mean in in reality.) And - if there were a bunch of actual changes and they turned out to be for the better - wouldn't we tend to assume there was an intelligence at work behind that?
So what about the immutable laws of character as the determinist has them? What do they predict? And why can't a person just change their own personal "laws of character and disposition" for the better? I think the only reason we don't observe breaches of those so-called "laws" more often is because they're so tenuous and slippery and not-well-defined that they can be used to account for pretty much anything. So it's hard to argue against them.